Explaining Southern California's economy

DoubleLine Capital's Jeff Gundlach says housing recovery has a ways to go (Chart)

DoubleLine Capital's CEO, Jeff Gundlach, doesn't see a robust housing recovery in 2013, the "Year of the Snake."

DoubleLine Capital's Jeff Gundlach presented his 2013 market outlook on Tuesday. DoubleLine, based in Los Angeles, is a fast-growing financial start-up. It has amassed more than $50 billion in assets under management (AUM) since CEO Gundlach left rival TCW — also L.A. based — in 2009, under controversial and eventually litigious circumstances. 

With Newport Beach based PIMCO, DoubleLine and TCW form what I call a Southern California "bond triangle" — together the trio manages more than $2 trillion, dealing mostly with fixed-income investments (although PIMCO and DoubleLine have been edging toward equities as a greater portion of their portfolios).

Add in Pasadena-based WAMCO, with $450 billion under management, and you have a constellation of bond funds with portfolios that surpass the annual economic output of the entire state of California, which is about $2 trillion.

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Bond kings chase returns in a low-interest-rate world

A short sale home in the Spring Valley a

MARK RALSTON/AFP/Getty Images

A recovering housing market has yielding big returns for Southern California bond funds that have invested in risky assets.

Heather Perlberg and Pierre Paulden at Bloomberg have a good piece Wednesday about what I call Southern California's "bond triangle" - and its investment managers' relentless quest for returns when interest rates are at historic lows. 

The major players in the story are PIMCO, the nearly $2 trillion fixed-income colossus based in Newport Beach; TCW, with $135 billion in assets under management and in the process of being taken over by the Carlyle Group, a big private-equity firm; and DoubleLine Capital, run by former TCW trader Jeff Gundlach and one of the fastest-growing financing startups in history, with more than $50 amassed in assets in three years. ( TCW and DoubleLine are based in L.A.)

Here's Perlberg and Paulden on how these firms' investment in a risky category of debt has paid off big time:

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In SoCal's Bond Triangle, the Carlyle Group hits some trouble

TCW-Getty

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The Carlyle Group, a huge private-equity firm, has hit snag with its purchase of a majority stake in TCW, one of the big bonds finds headquartered in California.

Reuters ran a dense "exclusive" Monday about some financial gyrations that are making potential trouble for private-equity colossus the Carlyle Group's deal to buy a chunk of TCW, one of the biggest bond funds in the world and a part of what I call the Southern California Bond Triangle. It also includes PIMCO and DoubleLine Capital.

PIMCO is the biggest bond fund in the world, with $1.8 trillion under management. TCW has around $135 billion on its books. DoubleLine has been growing at a furious pace since CEO Jeff Gundlach established it after a controversial departure from TCW. It has taken on nearly $50 billion in under three years. 

You could also throw Pasadena-based WAMCO in there, creating a Bond Quadrangle. WAMCO has around $450 billion under management and has tried in recent years to regain its competitive mojo versus PIMCO.

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