Explaining Southern California's economy

The bad news in the good jobs news

A jobs sign hangs above the entrance to


A jobs sign hangs above the entrance to the US Chamber of Commerce building in Washington, DC.

Today's jobs report was pretty solid. Not supergood, but miles from superbad. I went on "AirTalk" with Larry Mantle this morning to hash it all out with Christ Thornberg of Beacon Economics.

There were indications in the BLS data that consumer spending is weakening a bit, due to fewer jobs being added in the retail sector. Robert Reich thinks it's worse that, even as the rough pace of 245,000 jobs on averge persists:

[W]hether even that good rate continues depends largely on whether consumer demand can be revived. Spending by American consumers is 70 percent of U.S. economic activity. But so far, spending is anemic.

American consumers have replaced worn-out cars and appliances, but little else. They haven't had the dough. Their wages are still falling, adjusted for inflation. The value of their homes - most consumers' single biggest asset -- continues to drop.


Corporate profits are up but the money isn't flowing to American workers. The ratio of profits to wages is the highest on record -- since the government began keeping track in 1947. Not only has the median wage continued to drop, adjusted for inflation, but a far smaller share of working-age Americans is now employed (58.6 percent) than was employed five years ago (63.3 percent). Today's employment-to-population ratio isn't much higher than it was at its lowest point last summer, when it dropped to 58.2 percent.