Explaining Southern California's economy

Microsoft is back in the driver's seat on Yahoo deal

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A Yahoo! billboard is visible through trees in San Francisco, California.

I used to think that Microsoft should buy Yahoo. It didn't in 2008 — although that was less about Microsoft than it was about Yahoo's unwillingness to sell. Now that Yahoo has entered something of a tailspin, canning its CEO and exploring some sale options, Microsoft is back. And oh boy! What a deal it's looking to make.

But I now don't think Microsoft should buy Yahoo.

This is from the Wall Street Journal:

Potential suitors said they believe Yahoo’s inherent value is lower than its current share price of about $16.12, which they say includes a “deal premium” reflecting investors’ anticipation of the sale of Yahoo, people familiar with the matter said. The stock has run up since Carol Bartz was ousted as chief executive last month and Yahoo launched a strategic review.

In 2008, Microsoft was offering $31/share. It's traded as low as about $11. I'd say it's worth way more than $16, but in any case, Microsoft is now positioning itself to take a sweet stake, in preferred shares. I think this lessens the chance that I'll get my wish, which is to have Yahoo shed its identify as a tech company and remake itself as a Southern California-based online entertainment juggernaut. Microsoft doesn't need to be buying it. Disney does.

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