How immigrants are redefining 'American' in Southern California

California in the future: Older, less crowded, more second-generation

Photo by sansceriph/Flickr (Creative Commons)

Same lovely scenery as ever, with a changing population

A new California population projection provides a glimpse into what California will look like in the future, a state that will be less crowded than once predicted, whose population will be older, and whose younger faces will be increasingly second-generation.

The new projection from the University of Southern California's Price School of Public Policy predicts a far slower growth rate than what was projected five years ago, when the state was expected to have 50 million residents by 2032. According to the USC study, that's not expected to happen now until near the middle of the century, in 2046.

A large part of this slowdown comes from immigration slowing to a near trickle. While the percentage of foreign-born California residents rose dramatically during the 1980s and 1990s, it's now expected to remain steady at around 27 percent of the overall population through 2030.