Politics, government and public life for Southern California

Greuel, Garcetti camps at odds over poll results

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Los Angeles Mayor race 2013A poll released by Survey USA Thursday shows Wendy Greuel leading in the mayor's race by three points— a much different conclusion than one drawn by a USC/Los Angeles Times poll released earlier this week. 

According to Survey USA, Greuel leads Eric Garcetti by 45 percent to 42 percent. The results are based on phone surveys with 486 likely voters completed this week.  It has a margin of error of 4.5 percent.

It's a dramatic shift from the USC/LA Times poll that found Garcetti at 50 percent, compared to Greuel's 40 percent. However, between the time that the polls were conducted, Greuel has released three television commercials and had a visit from former President Bill Clinton. 

Still, the disparity was enough that it caused the Greuel campaign to address its previous criticism of Survey USA results.

"This poll is great news, but we've had concerns about it before," said Greuel campaign manager Janelle Erickson in a statement. She added: "Make no mistake about it — this race is still a toss up, and it's going to come down to the work we do in the next 26 days. 

The LA Weekly points out that in January, the Greuel campaign's John Shallman said of Survey USA poll results: "Everyone knows that robo call polls are inaccurate." This time around, the Garcetti camp agrees. 

"The poll is not real and conflicts with every other public poll in 2013," said Jeff Millman of the Garcetti campaign, "except for one other Survey USA poll the day before the primary, when they were 6 points wrong and Garcetti won by 4 points." 

The runoff is May 21.

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