Just hours after news that a ballot measure to raise California's minimum wage to $15 is now eligible for the statewide ballot in November, business leaders across the state vowed to fight it. But they left the door open for a compromise on the issue in the Legislature that would cost them less.
Theresa Harvey, the president and CEO of the North Orange County Chamber of Commerce, said she knew the measure was coming and has been preparing to fight it.
“It’s going to force more and more businesses out of California," she said. "It’s going to be impossible for employers to keep within the law and it’s going to drive more people to hire fewer employees."
Harvey said her group has an article in the quarterly newsletter set to go out soon telling members why they should oppose the measure. The chamber also has social media and email outreach plans in place to try and build support to vote it down.
Due to a recent law change, the ballot measure's proponents have until June 30 to withdraw the initiative from the November ballot. That could happen if the state legislature were to pass a minimum wage bill before then. Senate bill 3, which would raise California's minimum wage to $13, has been making its way through the state legislature.
Harvey said although her group opposes the ballot measure, it might be open to a less rapid fire approach from state lawmakers.
"Were the legislature to consider a more gradual step-up as they did from the seven to eight, and then the eight to nine and ten we could certainly look at it," she said, referring to previous minimum wage increases. “I think the devil is in the details.”
There's also a competing ballot initiative that's still trying to qualify for the November ballot that includes increased sick time.
Betty Jo Toccoli, president of the California Small Business Association, hopes the minimum wage issue will be resolved in the legislature. She gave the current Senate bill a 50/50 chance of passing.
"I think there are those legislators that think the easy way out is to just let the initiative go through and then they won't be blamed for it and then I think there are also legislators that recognize that they need to work on it," she said.
Toccoli says California businesses would like to see lawmakers carve out exemptions for students so they can work for lower wages. They also want to see exemptions for restaurant servers so they can still get tips.
One of the biggest irritants in the ballot initiative for businesses is a provision for annual cost of living increases once the $15-an-hour mark has been reached.
Hortencia Armendariz, director of healthcare outreach at SEIU-United Healthcare Workers, left room for the possibility that the sponsors could remove the ballot initiative if the legislature were to act, but said they wouldn't do so for anything less than what their ballot initiative proposes. Their measure includes cost of living increases.
"Where we stand is nothing less than $15 as an increase," she said. "Right now we're very happy that it qualified."
Nicholas Adcock, vice president and governmental affairs manager for Greater Riverside Chambers of Commerce, said his group has yet to take an official position on the ballot measure but it has deep concerns about minimum wage increases.
"Economies are different from city to city," he said, pointing out that well over half of the businesses in Riverside have fewer than 10 employees. "We're not talking very big profit models with huge profit margins."
Riverside, according to Adcock, doesn't have the resources of larger cities like San Francisco and Los Angeles. He fears a minimum wage increase could stifle small business growth, which is still in recovery after the housing crisis that hit the area hard during the Great Recession.
"It's going to force them to make some very tough decisions," he said, speaking of small business owners. "We want more jobs to be created."