AirTalk for April 18, 2011

Expert predictions are next to worthless

Mercer 17060

By Dan Gardner

Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway

Everyday on television, on the radio, in newspapers, experts are offering predictions for the future. They tell us how much oil will be per gallon, what the political climate will be in a particular region of the world or who will win the Superbowl. But according to the author of a new book, all those experts may as well be reading tea leaves. Dan Gardner is a journalist and the author of the critically acclaimed book, The Science of Fear. His latest effort, Future Babble, pulls back the curtain on the industry of expert prediction and shows it for the shell game it is. We’ll find out the role our brain chemistry plays in avoiding uncertainty, how the media is complicit in the expert predictor ruse, and if there are any experts out there you can trust!

Guest:

Dan Gardner, author of Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail - and Why We Believe Them Anyway


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