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Just how accurate were big data's Oscar predictions?

83rd Annual Academy Awards - The Oscar Envelope

Valerie Macon/Getty Images

Presentation of the new Oscar envelope for the 83rd Annual Academy Awards - The Oscar Envelope on February 26, 2011 in Hollywood, California.

Last week we talked to an Oscar predictor who had some pretty highfalutin ideas about who was going to win this year. That wasn't because he'd seen all the movies—he'd actually only seen two— but because he had big data on his side. 

David Rothschild is a researcher for Microsoft who makes prediction about elections, sports, and the Oscars on his website, www.predictwise.com 

Last week we learned about how he makes those predictions and this morning, we thought we'd check in to see just how accurate he was. 


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