Forecasting Academy Award nominees is a complex, fun, and influential game.
The top predictors in showbiz can be found on the website Gold Derby, including film critic Thelma Adams.
Adams and her fellow prognosticators start gaming nominees during international film festivals in Toronto, Telluride, Venice, etc. They take into account not just a film's merits, but whether the studio and players are willing to campaign for gold, or whether their campaigning will go overboard.
Plus, there's the Susan-Lucci effect, unpredictable backlashes, or an intangible failure to gain traction.
What are your predictions for tomorrow's Oscar nominations and why?