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The polls got it all wrong in 2016. Heading into the midterms, what is the state of polling?




Residents of Boyle Heights vote in the primary election on Tuesday, June 5, 2018.
Residents of Boyle Heights vote in the primary election on Tuesday, June 5, 2018.
Signe Larsen for KPCC

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We all know how wrong most political polls got the 2016 presidential election. That trend seems to be continuing with midterm primary races.

Pollsters are tremendously challenged in this era of unanswered phones. A candidate’s appeal to a select demographic also affects who turns out. How do polls project that factor?  

Guests:

Dan Schnur, professor of political science at UC Berkeley and USC’s Annenberg School for Communication; founder of the USC / Los Angeles Times statewide political poll; he tweets @danschnur 

Douglas Rivers,  professor of political science at Stanford University. He is the president and CEO of YouGov/Polimetrix, a global public opinion polling and data company